Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Asheville Bulldogs | North Florida Ospreys | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.5% | 47.5% | -0.5 | ✓ (13.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Florida Ospreys -14 (75-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNC Asheville Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fletcher Abee * | 34 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | +3.7 |
| Josh Banks * | 34 | 7-16 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 8 | +10.5 |
| Toyaz Solomon * | 31 | 10-16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | +5.1 |
| Greg Gantt Jr. * | 29 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | +10.9 |
| Jordan Marsh * | 23 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 16 | +3.4 |
| Kameron Taylor | 23 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | +8.9 |
| Jemal Davis | 15 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | +4.6 |
| Connor Dubsky | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +8.6 |
| Javoy Thompson | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
North Florida Ospreys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasai Miles * | 34 | 4-13 | 2-9 | 3-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | -6.0 |
| Nate Lliteras * | 31 | 7-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 18 | -12.3 |
| Jaylen Smith * | 23 | 5-12 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Josh Harris * | 22 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +0.7 |
| Oscar Berry * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6.4 |
| Kamrin Oriol | 25 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | -14.0 |
| Liam Murphy | 22 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10.2 |
| Ametri Moss | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Mason Lee | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dante Oliver | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +0.4 |
* = starter