Model Predictions
| Model | North Florida Ospreys | Stetson Hatters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.3% | 24.7% | -6.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stetson Hatters -8 (71-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Florida Ospreys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasai Miles | 30 | 8-17 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | +6.9 |
| Nate Lliteras | 30 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +4.8 |
| Josh Harris | 27 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | +9.8 |
| Oscar Berry | 27 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | +11.0 |
| Liam Murphy | 23 | 3-10 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4 | +13.8 |
| Jaylen Smith | 22 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +3.4 |
| Ametri Moss | 19 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +6.1 |
| Kamrin Oriol | 18 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +4.2 |
| Dante Oliver | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.6 |
Stetson Hatters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Phillips Jr. | 36 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 6-8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16 | -2.4 |
| Jordan Wood | 33 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | -17.8 |
| Josh Massey | 30 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 13 | -3.9 |
| Blaize Sagna | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -25.4 |
| Abramo Canka | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | -0.6 |
| Tristan Gross | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | -2.0 |
| Mehki Ellison | 18 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -13.8 |
| Finley Sheridan | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -0.3 |
| Landen Babusiak | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +2.2 |
| Alex Doyle | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.1 |
* = starter