Model Predictions
| Model | North Florida Ospreys | Central Arkansas Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.7% | 33.3% | -3.8 | ✗ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Central Arkansas Bears +1 (84-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Florida Ospreys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Smith | 41 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 21 | -3.2 |
| Nate Lliteras | 40 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 20 | +0.6 |
| Jasai Miles | 38 | 4-15 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | +3.9 |
| Kamrin Oriol | 31 | 6-12 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 14 | -6.3 |
| Liam Murphy | 30 | 5-14 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | +7.7 |
| Oscar Berry | 21 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Josh Harris | 18 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | -11.8 |
| Ametri Moss | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -3.1 |
| Dante Oliver | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole McCormick | 43 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 6-7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 17 | +2.1 |
| Michael Evbagharu | 41 | 8-12 | 2-5 | 5-7 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 25 | +0.0 |
| Brayden Fagbemi | 36 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 12 | +4.2 |
| Nehemiah Turner | 29 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 17 | 17 | +11.3 |
| Owen Derhmann | 26 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +6.3 |
| Ben Fox | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -4.4 |
| U. Etim | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | -2.2 |
| Ethan Thomas | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -2.2 |
| Diogo Seixas | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -4.1 |
| Jabari West | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1.0 |
* = starter