Model Predictions
| Model | North Florida Ospreys | Bellarmine Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.4% | 31.6% | -4.2 | ✓ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bellarmine Knights -15 (83-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Florida Ospreys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasai Miles | 32 | 8-13 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 12 | +4.6 |
| Nate Lliteras | 27 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | +0.8 |
| Jaylen Smith | 26 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | +7.7 |
| Oscar Berry | 25 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -8.4 |
| Liam Murphy | 23 | 6-9 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 20 | +23.2 |
| Josh Harris | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +7.2 |
| Ametri Moss | 14 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | +6.1 |
| Kamrin Oriol | 12 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +15.4 |
| Dante Oliver | 11 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | +16.1 |
| Mason Lee | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4.7 |
Bellarmine Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Johnson | 32 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | -5.7 |
| Billy Smith | 32 | 9-18 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 13 | -19.7 |
| Kenyon Goodin | 28 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | -8.6 |
| Jack Karasinski | 26 | 11-16 | 1-3 | 4-7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 13 | -7.6 |
| Dezmond McKinney | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -2.4 |
| Curt Hopf | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4.5 |
| Grant Whitaker | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -9.1 |
| Landin Hacker | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -11.1 |
| AJ Lux | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +0.9 |
| Tyler Doyle | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | -7.2 |
| Luke Anderson | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +3.9 |
| Myles Watkins | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.9 |
* = starter