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2025-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Stetson Hatters Jacksonville Dolphins Spread Result
Elo 14.3% 85.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 11.9% 88.1% - โœ“
Margin 5.5% 94.5% +15.6 โœ“ (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 19.4% 80.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 19.5% 80.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 4.2% 95.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 4.1% 95.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 20.3% 79.7% - โœ“

Actual: Jacksonville Dolphins +7 (79-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stetson Hatters

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mehki Ellison 39 8-14 2-7 2-2 6 1 3 0 3 20 13 -0.3
Jamie Phillips Jr. 38 6-16 2-7 6-6 6 2 2 0 1 20 13 +0.5
Treyton Thompson 23 3-6 0-1 2-2 5 1 0 1 1 8 8 +0.1
Finley Sheridan 20 4-6 0-1 0-2 5 1 1 0 2 8 7 -5.2
Jordan Wood 18 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 3 2 0 0 -14.8
Josh Massey 17 4-4 0-0 2-2 1 3 0 0 1 10 9 +8.1
Tristan Gross 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +2.3
Blaize Sagna 14 1-3 0-0 0-4 0 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -12.1
Daniel Macgregor 13 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 4 3 +9.5
Stefano Alesso 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -5.7

Jacksonville Dolphins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kendall Munson 34 6-10 0-0 5-11 8 0 0 1 3 17 13 +4.2
Jakari Spence 34 2-6 0-0 7-8 7 4 0 0 1 11 15 +2.6
Robert McCray 28 3-7 1-2 2-2 3 8 3 0 3 9 13 -0.9
Zach Bell 27 4-7 0-2 2-2 6 7 2 0 1 10 17 +19.0
Chris Arias 22 5-10 4-7 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 14 5 +3.7
Donovan Rivers 20 4-7 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 1 8 7 +1.6
Zimi Nwokeji 16 2-8 1-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 -1 -0.6
Tito Deng 11 2-6 1-4 0-0 6 0 2 1 1 5 7 -7.0
Kent Jackson 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -3.9

* = starter