Model Predictions
| Model | Jacksonville Dolphins | North Florida Ospreys | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.4% | 44.6% | -1.2 | ✗ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Florida Ospreys +4 (77-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Jacksonville Dolphins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Munson | 32 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 20 | +1.8 |
| Zach Bell | 32 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +2.8 |
| Robert McCray | 30 | 10-25 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | -2 | +8.6 |
| Jakari Spence | 24 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Zimi Nwokeji | 21 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -6.7 |
| Chris Arias | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -5.4 |
| Donovan Rivers | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | -0.9 |
| Kent Jackson | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Tito Deng | 9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +8.4 |
North Florida Ospreys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasai Miles | 35 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 7-7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 12 | -10.4 |
| Nate Lliteras | 30 | 4-14 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | -2.4 |
| Jaylen Smith | 29 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 16 | +0.1 |
| Liam Murphy | 28 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -0.4 |
| Oscar Berry | 27 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +9.3 |
| Josh Harris | 22 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Kamrin Oriol | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -0.9 |
| Ametri Moss | 11 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | -1.2 |
* = starter