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2025-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Bellarmine Knights Jacksonville Dolphins Spread Result
Elo 11.9% 88.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 9.4% 90.6% - โœ“
Margin 7.6% 92.4% +13.7 โœ“ (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 23.4% 76.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 23.5% 76.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 6.5% 93.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 6.4% 93.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 22.6% 77.4% - โœ“

Actual: Jacksonville Dolphins +9 (73-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bellarmine Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Billy Smith 34 3-12 2-7 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 8 -2 -11.6
Tyler Doyle 33 7-12 1-4 2-2 5 5 3 0 0 17 18 +0.2
Kenyon Goodin 33 1-5 1-4 4-6 5 3 1 0 1 7 10 -9.7
Curt Hopf 24 0-0 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 0 4 1 2 -15.1
Grant Whitaker 23 4-7 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 9 4 -6.1
Landin Hacker 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -3.3
Jack Karasinski 14 4-6 2-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 12 5 +7.5
AJ Lux 13 2-3 1-2 3-3 0 0 0 0 0 8 5 -0.4
Myles Watkins 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 +1.3

Jacksonville Dolphins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach Bell 32 3-7 0-3 0-0 5 4 3 0 0 6 11 +15.8
Chris Arias 30 3-9 2-6 4-4 3 2 1 0 0 12 9 -0.0
Jakari Spence 27 1-4 0-0 4-6 6 6 1 0 1 6 14 +10.5
Stephon Payne III 25 8-9 0-0 4-4 2 1 1 0 3 20 12 +14.9
Kendall Munson 21 2-4 0-0 2-4 6 3 0 0 3 6 8 +7.4
Zimi Nwokeji 21 5-8 4-6 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 14 5 +0.3
Robert McCray 18 0-4 0-2 1-2 2 3 0 0 1 1 1 -0.2
Donovan Rivers 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 2 4 -8.5
Kent Jackson 13 2-6 2-6 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 6 3 -1.5

* = starter