Model Predictions
| Model | North Florida Ospreys | Jacksonville Dolphins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 22.8% | 77.2% | +6.7 | ✗ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Jacksonville Dolphins -3 (78-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Florida Ospreys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasai Miles | 34 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | +8.4 |
| Nate Lliteras | 33 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | -1.7 |
| Liam Murphy | 26 | 7-18 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 2 | +9.9 |
| Jaylen Smith | 25 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-4 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 4 | +3.2 |
| Oscar Berry | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5.5 |
| Josh Harris | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -1.7 |
| Kamrin Oriol | 20 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | +7.9 |
| Ametri Moss | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -2.1 |
Jacksonville Dolphins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert McCray | 36 | 10-31 | 2-9 | 4-4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 10 | -0.2 |
| Zimi Nwokeji | 33 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 4-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 13 | -2.1 |
| Jakari Spence | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +4.1 |
| Zach Bell | 26 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | -9.7 |
| Kendall Munson | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | +1.4 |
| Chris Arias | 16 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -15.5 |
| Stephon Payne III | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -11.1 |
| Kent Jackson | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +11.7 |
| Donovan Rivers | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +1.6 |
| Tito Deng | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.9 |
* = starter