Model Predictions
| Model | Central Arkansas Bears | Jacksonville Dolphins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.2% | 91.8% | +13.3 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Jacksonville Dolphins +10 (72-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Fagbemi | 38 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | -7.6 |
| Layne Taylor | 37 | 6-13 | 1-6 | 7-7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Michael Evbagharu | 35 | 1-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -6 | -12.8 |
| Elias Cato | 29 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8.4 |
| Cole McCormick | 22 | 7-10 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | +10.5 |
| Nehemiah Turner | 22 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -15.7 |
| Diogo Seixas | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +3.4 |
| Ben Fox | 5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -0.7 |
Jacksonville Dolphins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakari Spence | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 5 | +8.9 |
| Robert McCray | 28 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 12 | +4.1 |
| Zach Bell | 27 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Stephon Payne III | 25 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | -0.6 |
| Zimi Nwokeji | 25 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | -4.4 |
| Chris Arias | 20 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +12.7 |
| Kent Jackson | 17 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -0.9 |
| Kendall Munson | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | +12.2 |
| Tito Deng | 14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +8.1 |
| Donovan Rivers | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -0.0 |
* = starter