Model Predictions
| Model | Jacksonville Dolphins | Bellarmine Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 81.6% | 18.4% | -8.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.5% | 12.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.6% | 12.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bellarmine Knights -15 (59-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Jacksonville Dolphins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakari Spence | 32 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | +11.5 |
| Robert McCray | 32 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | +13.9 |
| Stephon Payne III | 30 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | +15.3 |
| Kendall Munson | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | +7.2 |
| Chris Arias | 26 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +0.6 |
| Zimi Nwokeji | 17 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | +5.3 |
| Kent Jackson | 17 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | +2.4 |
| Zach Bell | 13 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +11.2 |
| Donovan Rivers | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.4 |
Bellarmine Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Johnson | 30 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -4 | -5.6 |
| Dezmond McKinney | 28 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | -4.8 |
| Billy Smith | 27 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -3 | -12.5 |
| Jack Karasinski | 24 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | -19.8 |
| Curt Hopf | 23 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 13 | -2.8 |
| Myles Watkins | 21 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | +3.8 |
| Kenyon Goodin | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4.6 |
| Tyler Doyle | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -5.5 |
| AJ Lux | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -2.6 |
| Landin Hacker | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -10.3 |
| Grant Whitaker | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +2.2 |
* = starter