Model Predictions
| Model | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Jacksonville Dolphins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.2% | 47.8% | -0.5 | ✗ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Jacksonville Dolphins +8 (60-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Buggs III | 35 | 5-12 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 5 | -10.8 |
| Q. Peterson | 34 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 5 | -4.8 |
| K. Boyd | 31 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -9.8 |
| A. Strothers | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +2.0 |
| J. Seymour | 20 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 3 | -8.0 |
| D. Bradford | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5.6 |
| M. Johnson | 13 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +8.5 |
| R. Wheeler | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +1.5 |
| D.J. Hughes | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -1.8 |
| C. Lewis | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -3.9 |
Jacksonville Dolphins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. McCray V | 36 | 8-15 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 16 | +3.9 |
| J. Spence | 28 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +6.5 |
| Z. Bell | 26 | 0-11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -9 | +12.3 |
| Z. Nwokeji | 24 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | +7.4 |
| C. Arias | 22 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | +1.2 |
| D. Rivers | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +8.3 |
| S. Payne III | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4.5 |
| K. Munson | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -0.5 |
| K. Jackson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.2 |
| E. Borio | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 |
* = starter