Model Predictions
| Model | North Florida Ospreys | Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.2% | 80.8% | +7.9 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles +4 (86-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Florida Ospreys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Lliteras | 34 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 22 | +6.7 |
| Jaylen Smith | 31 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | +5.5 |
| Liam Murphy | 29 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 13 | -4.2 |
| Jasai Miles | 29 | 3-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | +6.0 |
| Kamrin Oriol | 24 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +3.1 |
| Oscar Berry | 24 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -4.1 |
| Josh Harris | 17 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -2.3 |
| Ametri Moss | 10 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | -4.8 |
| Dante Oliver | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.6 |
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallion Johnson | 38 | 7-15 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | +3.2 |
| Jevin Muniz | 37 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | -1.3 |
| Michael Duax | 34 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 14 | -6.8 |
| Zavian McLean | 34 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | +2.4 |
| Keeshawn Kellman | 31 | 11-18 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 22 | +2.3 |
| Jack Reddick | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +13.5 |
| Darren Williams | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -7.0 |
| Tristen Guillouette | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6.1 |
* = starter