Model Predictions
| Model | Eastern Kentucky Colonels | North Florida Ospreys | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.1% | 40.9% | -2.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Florida Ospreys -5 (81-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devontae Blanton | 33 | 11-20 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 7 | -7.1 |
| Turner Buttry | 33 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | +0.5 |
| Jordan Crawford | 29 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 15 | +4.8 |
| Montavious Myrick | 28 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | -2.2 |
| Mayar Wol | 22 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | +0.2 |
| Jackson Holt | 19 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Tyler Andrews | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | +6.5 |
| Micah Davis | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +9.9 |
| DJ Nussbaum | 6 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +8.8 |
| Yvens Paul | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4.2 |
North Florida Ospreys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Smith | 37 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +4.6 |
| Nate Lliteras | 35 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | +0.3 |
| Jasai Miles | 33 | 6-13 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | +1.4 |
| Oscar Berry | 32 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +6.6 |
| Josh Harris | 25 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | +6.9 |
| Liam Murphy | 20 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | -15.3 |
| Kamrin Oriol | 15 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -14.7 |
| Ametri Moss | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | -8.0 |
* = starter