Model Predictions
| Model | North Florida Ospreys | Eastern Kentucky Colonels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.2% | 79.8% | +7.6 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Eastern Kentucky Colonels +5 (79-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Florida Ospreys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasai Miles | 30 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | -4.6 |
| Nate Lliteras | 29 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -6.7 |
| Jaylen Smith | 28 | 6-11 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | +1.2 |
| Josh Harris | 25 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | +2.5 |
| Kamrin Oriol | 23 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | +8.1 |
| Oscar Berry | 21 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -4.3 |
| Liam Murphy | 14 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | -8.7 |
| Mason Lee | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +1.5 |
| Ametri Moss | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -4.8 |
| Dante Oliver | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.9 |
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devontae Blanton | 35 | 5-15 | 0-2 | 6-9 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | +4.1 |
| George Kimble III | 35 | 9-21 | 3-9 | 5-5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 13 | +4.6 |
| Turner Buttry | 31 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | +11.8 |
| Montavious Myrick | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 17 | +2.2 |
| Mayar Wol | 26 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +6.9 |
| Jackson Holt | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4.6 |
| Tyler Andrews | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -3.3 |
| Cyril Martynov | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2.2 |
| Yvens Paul | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +3.8 |
| DJ Nussbaum | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
| Jordan Crawford | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.1 |
* = starter