Model Predictions
| Model | Stetson Hatters | Austin Peay Governors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.1% | 86.9% | +10.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Austin Peay Governors +13 (76-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stetson Hatters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Phillips Jr. | 35 | 9-11 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 20 | -1.1 |
| Jordan Wood | 32 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | -10.4 |
| Josh Massey | 30 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | -11.6 |
| Mehki Ellison | 27 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | -6.9 |
| Blaize Sagna | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2.3 |
| Treyton Thompson | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -12.8 |
| Tristan Gross | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Finley Sheridan | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.7 |
| Abramo Canka | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | -6.6 |
Austin Peay Governors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LJ Thomas | 38 | 7-14 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 14 | +13.1 |
| Tate McCubbin | 36 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +16.3 |
| Isaac Haney | 35 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 3-5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 21 | +7.1 |
| Sai Witt | 22 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 11 | +7.4 |
| Quan Lax | 21 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | +6.2 |
| Anton Brookshire | 20 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +9.1 |
| Daniel Loos | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.3 |
| Tekao Carpenter | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -4.3 |
| Hansel Enmanuel | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -0.4 |
| Terrell Gaines | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Me'Kell Burries | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Javar Daniel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Akili Evans | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
* = starter