Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | Austin Peay Governors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.9% | 34.1% | -3.6 | ✗ (16.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Austin Peay Governors +13 (73-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallion Johnson | 37 | 8-19 | 4-11 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 8 | -11.3 |
| Jevin Muniz | 37 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -15.5 |
| Zavian McLean | 34 | 5-9 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | -11.1 |
| Keeshawn Kellman | 26 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -8.4 |
| Michael Duax | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -9.7 |
| Rory Stewart | 18 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | +1.1 |
| Tristen Guillouette | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -7.3 |
| Darren Williams | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.3 |
| Jack Reddick | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.2 |
Austin Peay Governors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LJ Thomas | 39 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | +18.9 |
| Isaac Haney | 38 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 18 | +13.6 |
| Anton Brookshire | 35 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +13.5 |
| Tate McCubbin | 35 | 5-7 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 16 | +23.5 |
| Sai Witt | 27 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 15 | +13.8 |
| Daniel Loos | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +1.6 |
| Quan Lax | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.9 |
| Terrell Gaines | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -2.0 |
| Hansel Enmanuel | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.2 |
| Tekao Carpenter | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Akili Evans | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Javar Daniel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
* = starter