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2025-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Bellarmine Knights Austin Peay Governors Spread Result
Elo 15.5% 84.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 21.2% 78.8% - โœ“
Margin 17.5% 82.5% +8.5 โœ“ (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 34.3% 65.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 33.7% 66.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 23.7% 76.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 23.6% 76.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 31.7% 68.3% - โœ“

Actual: Austin Peay Governors +9 (86-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bellarmine Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Billy Smith 42 7-17 4-7 7-7 1 3 2 0 3 25 11 -11.1
Tyler Doyle 31 3-5 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 0 1 7 7 -7.3
Kenyon Goodin 30 3-5 0-1 5-6 9 0 0 0 1 11 14 -8.3
Landin Hacker 28 2-7 1-6 1-2 4 0 1 0 2 6 2 +0.8
Myles Watkins 25 5-12 1-2 0-0 4 1 2 0 0 11 6 +4.5
Jack Karasinski 22 5-11 0-3 2-4 3 1 0 1 0 12 6 -3.6
Grant Whitaker 20 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -12.7
Curt Hopf 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 +6.3
AJ Lux 7 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 +1.2
Dezmond McKinney 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -2.8
Luke Anderson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0

Austin Peay Governors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anton Brookshire 40 5-8 4-7 7-7 1 5 0 0 4 21 15 +10.2
Tate McCubbin 39 1-7 0-6 3-4 11 2 3 1 0 5 15 +7.2
Sai Witt 34 7-14 0-0 11-16 12 0 0 0 3 25 20 +9.9
Quan Lax 31 1-4 0-1 2-2 3 4 0 0 0 4 7 +4.2
LJ Thomas 22 5-8 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 10 7 +5.5
Isaac Haney 20 6-12 4-8 1-2 4 1 0 0 3 17 7 +0.8
Tekao Carpenter 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -1.3
Hansel Enmanuel 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 3 -3.2
Me'Kell Burries 11 2-5 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 4 2 +2.8
Daniel Loos 3 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.1

* = starter