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2025-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Austin Peay Governors Jacksonville Dolphins Spread Result
Elo 34.3% 65.7% -
Bradley-Terry 22.4% 77.6% -
Margin 19.0% 81.0% +8.0 (16.0 off)
Pythagorean 34.6% 65.4% -
Efficiency 35.3% 64.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 19.3% 80.7% -
Log Adjusted 19.3% 80.7% -
Points Off/Def 32.4% 67.6% -

Actual: Jacksonville Dolphins +24 (68-44). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Austin Peay Governors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LJ Thomas 34 5-18 0-3 2-2 8 0 3 1 3 12 3 -21.9
T. McCubbin 32 5-12 2-9 0-0 3 1 2 0 2 12 4 -12.0
Q. Lax 26 0-7 0-3 0-0 0 2 2 2 1 0 -2 -12.2
A. Brookshire 24 1-5 1-3 0-0 4 0 1 0 3 3 0 -7.4
A. Evans 24 3-9 0-3 0-1 5 3 0 0 0 6 5 -17.0
T. Carpenter 21 1-5 1-5 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 3 0 -6.3
S. Witt 16 2-7 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 -1 -2.5
D. Dawson 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 3 -6.7
J. Daniel 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +0.0
D. Loos 6 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 0 -15.6
B. Hammer 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -5.8
T. Gaines 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1.0
H. Enmanuel 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Jacksonville Dolphins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. McCray V 31 5-13 0-1 5-6 6 4 1 0 4 15 9 +22.7
Z. Bell 29 5-7 1-2 1-2 6 0 1 1 1 12 12 +15.1
E. Borio 25 3-3 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 4 0 7 11 +11.3
J. Spence 23 0-7 0-0 5-6 5 2 2 2 2 5 7 +10.4
C. Arias 22 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 2 2 0 1 +12.4
K. Munson 20 2-5 0-0 2-4 4 0 1 0 1 6 5 -5.2
S. Payne III 19 2-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 1 2 6 5 +21.2
Z. Nwokeji 19 4-8 0-3 0-0 9 1 0 1 2 8 9 +9.3
K. Jackson 10 2-2 2-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 6 5 +9.6
T. Deng 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 3 +1.9
M. Fuentes 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.0

* = starter