Model Predictions
| Model | Austin Peay Governors | North Florida Ospreys | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.5% | 67.5% | +4.0 | ✗ (12.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Florida Ospreys -8 (89-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Austin Peay Governors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anton Brookshire | 35 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 14-14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 22 | +7.4 |
| LJ Thomas | 31 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 13-15 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 22 | +2.8 |
| Tate McCubbin | 30 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | +13.7 |
| Sai Witt | 29 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 14 | +14.6 |
| Quan Lax | 28 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | -5.2 |
| Tekao Carpenter | 21 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2.6 |
| Akili Evans | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | +4.5 |
| Javar Daniel | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4.1 |
| Daniel Loos | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.2 |
| Hansel Enmanuel | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Terrell Gaines | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.0 |
North Florida Ospreys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasai Miles | 32 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 12 | -5.4 |
| Nate Lliteras | 30 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 13 | -7.8 |
| Josh Harris | 27 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | -14.8 |
| Jaylen Smith | 24 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | -6.4 |
| Kamrin Oriol | 22 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +7.7 |
| Liam Murphy | 22 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | -2.0 |
| Oscar Berry | 19 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -4.4 |
| Ametri Moss | 18 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | -0.1 |
| Dante Oliver | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +7.1 |
| Mason Lee | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
* = starter