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2025-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Austin Peay Governors North Florida Ospreys Spread Result
Elo 45.9% 54.1% -
Bradley-Terry 29.3% 70.7% -
Margin 32.5% 67.5% +4.0 (12.0 off)
Pythagorean 42.8% 57.2% -
Efficiency 43.5% 56.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.6% 61.4% -
Log Adjusted 38.8% 61.2% -
Points Off/Def 41.0% 59.0% -

Actual: North Florida Ospreys -8 (89-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Austin Peay Governors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Brookshire 35 4-7 3-5 14-14 3 2 0 0 1 25 22 +7.4
LJ Thomas 31 5-13 0-3 13-15 9 3 1 0 1 23 22 +2.8
T. McCubbin 30 5-11 3-4 0-0 4 1 2 0 0 13 9 +13.7
S. Witt 29 8-13 0-0 7-10 7 1 2 0 6 23 14 +14.6
Q. Lax 28 5-6 1-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 11 9 -5.2
T. Carpenter 21 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 1 +2.6
A. Evans 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 2 0 0 0 9 +4.5
J. Daniel 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -4.1
D. Loos 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -3.2
H. Enmanuel 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Gaines 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.0

North Florida Ospreys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Miles 32 5-12 1-4 6-6 6 0 0 1 0 17 12 -5.4
N. Lliteras 30 3-9 1-2 5-6 9 0 0 2 1 12 13 -7.8
J. Harris 27 6-10 0-0 1-2 9 2 1 0 0 13 15 -14.8
J. Smith 24 5-10 1-2 4-5 1 2 0 0 3 15 5 -6.4
K. Oriol 22 3-4 1-1 2-4 2 1 0 1 2 9 7 +7.7
L. Murphy 22 2-7 1-6 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 5 -3 -2.0
O. Berry 19 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 3 6 -4.4
A. Moss 18 4-9 0-1 7-8 1 3 3 0 1 15 12 -0.1
D. Oliver 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 +7.1
M. Lee 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.9

* = starter