Model Predictions
| Model | UConn Huskies | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.1% | 5.9% | -15.3 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.8% | 5.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.9% | 5.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -11 (58-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Strong | 38 | 7-19 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 17 | +0.7 |
| P. Bueckers | 37 | 12-21 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 18 | +0.6 |
| A. Shade | 32 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | -2.8 |
| K. Chen | 26 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +0.3 |
| I. Brady | 25 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -5.6 |
| KK Arnold | 22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6.7 |
| J. El Alfy | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -0.8 |
| M. Cheli | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.2 |
| A. Ziebell | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Nivar | 32 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 13 | -1.0 |
| R. Kelly | 30 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | +4.5 |
| A. Ustby | 28 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +4.6 |
| C. Toomey | 23 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | -0.6 |
| L. Grant | 21 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +4.1 |
| M. Gakdeng | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +1.2 |
| L. Donarski | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +2.5 |
| T. Crisp | 15 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +3.7 |
| L. Hull | 8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +0.2 |
| G. Townsend | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +10.0 |
| B. Thomas | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +3.6 |
* = starter