Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Greensboro Spartans | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.6% | 99.4% | +28.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +24 (80-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNC Greensboro Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nia Howard | 29 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +2.0 |
| Jayde Gamble | 29 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | +1.5 |
| Jaila Lee | 23 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | +1.5 |
| Nya Smith | 23 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | +0.8 |
| Yacine N'Diaye | 21 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Khalis Cain | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +1.8 |
| Kelly Boyle | 20 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | +0.3 |
| Tasia Johnson | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +1.4 |
| Makiah Asidanya | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.3 |
| Ayanna Jackson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.2 |
| Kristina Rakotobe | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
| Nasia Powell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Donarski | 27 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -0.8 |
| A. Ustby | 24 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 16 | -0.7 |
| R. Kelly | 23 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -0.8 |
| L. Grant | 21 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +0.2 |
| I. Nivar | 19 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | -0.8 |
| M. Gakdeng | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | -0.7 |
| Trayanna Crisp | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -0.3 |
| C. Toomey | 15 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -0.5 |
| B. Thomas | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -0.2 |
| L. Hull | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -0.2 |
| G. Townsend | 8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -0.1 |
| S. Barker | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| J. Zubich | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +0.1 |
* = starter