Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Long Beach State Beach | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.8% | 14.2% | -9.9 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.5% | 10.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Long Beach State Beach -1 (80-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scotty Washington | 36 | 4-14 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | +1.9 |
| Keonte Jones | 36 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 28 | -2.1 |
| Marcus Adams Jr. | 36 | 9-14 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 20 | +2.9 |
| Mahmoud Fofana | 30 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | -5.1 |
| PJ Fuller II | 30 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | -5.0 |
| Tyler Beard | 18 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | +7.0 |
| Grady Lewis | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +5.0 |
| Festus Ndumanya | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Jalen Barbee | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Askew | 40 | 7-17 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 19 | -0.9 |
| Kam Martin | 37 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | -2.9 |
| TJ Wainwright | 31 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Andrew Nagy | 29 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | -1.9 |
| A. Johnson | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 12 | -0.9 |
| Christian Richardson | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Varick Lewis | 12 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +1.1 |
| Cam Denson | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1.0 |
* = starter