Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Long Beach State Beach | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.6% | 43.4% | -1.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Long Beach State Beach -8 (65-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Sevilla | 39 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | +8.5 |
| Ty Johnson | 39 | 9-17 | 4-8 | 11-14 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 22 | +12.4 |
| Niko Rocak | 37 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 | +10.4 |
| Leo DeBruhl | 35 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | +16.3 |
| Pablo Tamba | 34 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | +16.1 |
| Carl Daughtery Jr. | 21 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -6.1 |
| Nils Cooper | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -5.1 |
| Isaiah Chappell | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -0.2 |
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Askew | 43 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 11 | -12.4 |
| Andrew Nagy | 39 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -4.5 |
| TJ Wainwright | 38 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| A. Johnson | 34 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 3 | -13.5 |
| Kam Martin | 28 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -4.6 |
| Varick Lewis | 23 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Cam Denson | 16 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | -2.7 |
| Christian Richardson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter