Model Predictions
| Model | Long Beach State Beach | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.7% | 88.3% | +11.1 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +9 (78-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Johnson | 36 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 7 | +5.2 |
| Devin Askew | 36 | 11-22 | 5-8 | 8-9 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 35 | 21 | +4.2 |
| TJ Wainwright | 36 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Varick Lewis | 21 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -6 | +8.8 |
| Kam Martin | 21 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | -6.4 |
| D. Xzavierro | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +9.7 |
| Cam Denson | 15 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | +2.4 |
| Eli Djordjevic | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Jason Hart Jr. | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.9 |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarred Hyder | 35 | 7-11 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | -4.8 |
| Isaac Jessup | 35 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -5.0 |
| Owen Koonce | 33 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 4 | -7.1 |
| Mac Riniker | 26 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 7 | +3.0 |
| Peter Bandelj | 24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -7.0 |
| Luka Tarlac | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -8.9 |
| Aaron Price Jr. | 15 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Cayden Ward | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +4.8 |
* = starter