Model Predictions
| Model | Long Beach State Beach | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.7% | 94.3% | +15.4 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +10 (86-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kam Martin | 39 | 5-14 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 1 | -12.7 |
| Devin Askew | 38 | 4-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | -10.7 |
| TJ Wainwright | 35 | 8-13 | 6-7 | 5-5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 14 | - |
| D. Xzavierro | 27 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | +0.2 |
| A. Johnson | 26 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | +2.3 |
| Eli Djordjevic | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -17.9 |
| Cam Denson | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -4.0 |
| Varick Lewis | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6.0 |
| Christian Richardson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jason Hart Jr. | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +4.0 |
| Grant Martin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Adams Jr. | 33 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | +24.8 |
| Scotty Washington | 33 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | +17.7 |
| Keonte Jones | 31 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | +22.8 |
| Tyler Beard | 27 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | +5.9 |
| PJ Fuller II | 25 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | -8.2 |
| Mahmoud Fofana | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | +1.9 |
| Grady Lewis | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | -0.2 |
| Jordan Brinson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -9.0 |
| Jalen Barbee | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -10.0 |
| Festus Ndumanya | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +3.0 |
* = starter