Model Predictions
| Model | UC San Diego Tritons | Long Beach State Beach | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 95.8% | 4.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 95.6% | 4.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 97.4% | 2.6% | -19.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.2% | 3.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.3% | 3.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 85.3% | 14.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Long Beach State Beach -26 (54-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC San Diego Tritons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler McGhie | 29 | 10-16 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 19 | +17.1 |
| Chris Howell | 29 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | +20.8 |
| Hayden Gray | 28 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | +4.8 |
| Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones | 25 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | +17.1 |
| Aidan Burke | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +17.0 |
| Maximo Milovich | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +9.3 |
| Nordin Kapic | 18 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +7.8 |
| Justin Rochelin | 17 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | +1.9 |
| Ryder Elisaldez | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.0 |
| Cade Pendleton | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +2.0 |
| Jasen Brooks | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Askew | 35 | 4-12 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 4 | -18.7 |
| Kam Martin | 31 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | -12.7 |
| D. Xzavierro | 28 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -8.3 |
| Varick Lewis | 22 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | -12.2 |
| A. Johnson | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -16.8 |
| TJ Wainwright | 19 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Cam Denson | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | -6.2 |
| Andrew Nagy | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -6.1 |
| Christian Richardson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jason Hart Jr. | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -4.6 |
| Eli Djordjevic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter