Model Predictions
| Model | Long Beach State Beach | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.9% | 78.1% | +7.0 | ✗ (18.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies -11 (73-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Askew | 38 | 9-13 | 4-6 | 10-10 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 27 | +11.7 |
| TJ Wainwright | 33 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| A. Johnson | 30 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 3 | +11.7 |
| Kam Martin | 28 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | +5.5 |
| D. Xzavierro | 26 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 13 | +13.6 |
| Cam Denson | 22 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | +17.3 |
| Jason Hart Jr. | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6.8 |
| Christian Richardson | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Andrew Nagy | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
| Varick Lewis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Sevilla | 35 | 4-10 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | -6.5 |
| Pablo Tamba | 34 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | -15.1 |
| Ty Johnson | 34 | 6-15 | 1-3 | 18-20 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 24 | -9.6 |
| Leo DeBruhl | 33 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | +1.3 |
| Niko Rocak | 24 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -18.4 |
| Nils Cooper | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +0.9 |
| Carl Daughtery Jr. | 15 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -2 | -9.1 |
| Isaiah Chappell | 9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -1.4 |
| Sione Lose | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
* = starter