๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2024-12-05

Model Predictions

Model Long Beach State Beach Cal State Fullerton Titans Spread Result
Elo 49.4% 50.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 42.1% 57.9% - โœ—
Margin 62.2% 37.8% -2.7 โœ“ (14.3 off)
Pythagorean 69.5% 30.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 68.0% 32.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 71.7% 28.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 71.7% 28.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 55.7% 44.3% - โœ“

Actual: Cal State Fullerton Titans -17 (56-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Long Beach State Beach

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Askew 34 5-14 1-5 5-5 6 3 3 0 4 16 10 +17.0
A. Johnson 31 5-6 0-0 0-1 0 1 0 2 1 10 6 +10.0
TJ Wainwright 31 4-10 0-3 2-2 2 4 2 0 1 10 7 -
Kam Martin 29 4-8 3-6 0-2 2 2 1 0 3 11 5 +16.0
Cam Denson 27 1-4 0-2 3-4 6 2 1 1 2 5 9 +13.0
Andrew Nagy 25 3-4 0-0 0-2 2 0 1 0 0 6 5 +4.0
D. Xzavierro 15 3-4 1-1 2-4 9 0 2 1 1 9 16 +18.0
Varick Lewis 6 1-1 1-1 3-3 0 0 1 0 1 6 5 +3.0
Christian Richardson 2 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Cal State Fullerton Titans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Square 26 3-3 0-0 3-4 2 1 0 1 1 9 9 -14.0
Kobe Young 23 4-8 0-2 1-2 7 0 0 0 2 9 6 -22.0
Donovan Oday 22 3-10 0-3 2-4 4 2 3 1 2 8 6 -17.0
Keith Richard 22 4-5 0-0 0-1 1 1 0 0 2 8 3 -9.0
Kendrick De Luna 21 4-4 0-0 2-3 3 0 1 0 1 10 9 -
Kaleb Brown 20 2-6 0-1 0-2 0 1 1 0 1 4 -1 -11.0
Antwan Robinson 19 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 0 -2.0
Davis Bynum 16 0-6 0-3 1-2 4 1 2 1 2 1 1 -11.0
LoLo Rudolph 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 +1.0
Zach Visentin 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 0 0 +5.0
Freddie Cooper 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 +4.0
Zion Richardson 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -2.0

* = starter