Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | Long Beach State Beach | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.6% | 45.4% | -1.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Long Beach State Beach -3 (69-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mykell Robinson * | 37 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 10-10 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 17 | +4.6 |
| Amar Augillard * | 34 | 8-21 | 4-13 | 5-7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 6 | +2.8 |
| Elijah Price * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | +0.8 |
| Mor Seck * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | +3.8 |
| Brian Amuneke * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -4.1 |
| David Douglas Jr. | 31 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | +4.4 |
| Jasir Tremble | 24 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Joshua Bonga | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +2.0 |
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Askew * | 37 | 7-17 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 7 | -2.8 |
| A. Johnson * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | -4.0 |
| TJ Wainwright * | 27 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Ramel Lloyd Jr. * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +0.0 |
| D. Xzavierro * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +11.1 |
| Andrew Nagy | 20 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +5.1 |
| Cam Denson | 19 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | -12.0 |
| Kam Martin | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -5.8 |
| Varick Lewis | 9 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | -3.0 |
| Christian Richardson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Eli Djordjevic | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
* = starter