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2025-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Missouri Tigers Spread Result
Elo 66.0% 34.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 55.0% 45.0% - โœ“
Margin 46.2% 53.8% +0.8 โœ— (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 44.6% 55.4% - โœ—
Efficiency 44.6% 55.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 55.3% 44.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 55.2% 44.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 46.8% 53.2% - โœ—

Actual: Missouri Tigers -8 (83-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Koby Brea 37 6-9 3-5 2-2 4 2 1 0 0 17 15 +3.8
Andrew Carr 34 5-8 2-3 4-6 12 3 1 2 1 16 25 -1.8
Amari Williams 29 2-4 0-0 10-12 8 2 1 1 0 14 22 +11.5
Otega Oweh 28 6-17 2-3 8-10 2 1 3 0 3 22 8 +2.6
Lamont Butler 26 3-6 0-0 2-2 0 2 0 0 1 8 3 +7.9
Collin Chandler 16 3-5 2-4 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 8 5 -3.5
Trent Noah 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 3 +7.5
Brandon Garrison 10 0-2 0-1 0-1 4 0 0 0 1 0 1 -6.0
Travis Perry 7 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 3 1 +10.4
Ansley Almonor 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.1

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mark Mitchell 34 8-14 2-2 4-7 7 3 0 0 0 22 18 -0.1
Caleb Grill 30 2-6 2-6 2-3 3 0 1 1 2 8 5 +7.8
Tamar Bates 26 3-8 0-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 8 0 -3.2
Tony Perkins 24 4-9 1-3 0-0 2 3 2 1 2 9 6 -1.8
Josh Gray 22 1-4 0-0 3-4 8 0 0 0 2 5 7 -8.3
Anthony Robinson II 21 1-6 0-2 0-0 5 3 1 0 2 2 3 -1.5
Jacob Crews 19 5-11 2-6 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 12 6 +4.2
Marques Warrick 14 5-8 4-6 3-4 0 0 2 0 0 17 11 -0.2
Trent Pierce 5 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +0.4
Marcus Allen 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -1.9
Annor Boateng 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.4
Aidan Shaw 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.6
Jeremy Sanchez 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.1

* = starter