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2025-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Texas A&M Aggies LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 72.5% 27.5% -
Bradley-Terry 66.8% 33.2% -
Margin 75.7% 24.3% -6.2 (7.8 off)
Pythagorean 55.6% 44.4% -
Efficiency 55.6% 44.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 85.6% 14.4% -
Log Adjusted 85.7% 14.3% -
Points Off/Def 63.1% 36.9% -

Actual: LSU Tigers -14 (52-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas A&M Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Taylor IV 31 5-13 3-7 4-4 6 0 1 0 2 17 9 +11.0
A. Garcia 30 2-2 0-0 4-4 10 2 1 0 1 8 18 +10.3
H. Coleman III 25 5-9 0-0 1-2 10 0 1 1 0 11 14 +21.4
Z. Phelps 24 2-8 0-3 2-2 3 1 0 0 2 6 0 +9.7
S. Washington 21 1-5 0-2 2-5 5 0 1 0 2 4 3 -
P. Payne 20 2-5 0-0 5-6 5 1 0 0 2 9 8 -3.9
H. Hefner 17 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 2 -1 -5.7
M. Obaseki 12 2-5 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 4 1 -0.4
J. Carter 10 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.7
CJ Wilcher 10 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 1 1 5 3 +0.4
C. McDermott 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Sears 35 6-13 3-8 6-7 3 2 3 0 2 21 14 -7.3
D. Bailey 35 2-7 0-2 2-2 3 2 0 0 0 6 4 -13.9
C. Carter 34 2-12 2-9 1-2 5 1 0 0 3 7 -2 -5.4
D. Fountain 27 0-3 0-1 3-4 3 1 0 2 1 3 5 -13.1
M. Williams III 25 3-11 1-5 1-1 4 1 2 2 2 8 4 -14.1
C. Givens III 16 0-2 0-0 2-4 2 0 3 0 1 2 4 -9.8
R. Miller III 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 2 0 2 5 +6.0
D. Collins 13 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 2 1 3 5 +6.0
T. Young 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0

* = starter