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2025-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Missouri Tigers Oklahoma Sooners Spread Result
Elo 51.5% 48.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 41.2% 58.8% - โœ“
Margin 57.7% 42.3% -1.7 โœ— (13.7 off)
Pythagorean 53.2% 46.8% - โœ—
Efficiency 53.2% 46.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 67.9% 32.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 68.4% 31.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 53.7% 46.3% - โœ—

Actual: Oklahoma Sooners +12 (96-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caleb Grill 33 5-12 4-11 2-2 8 1 0 0 1 16 12 -9.2
Mark Mitchell 25 7-8 0-0 4-5 2 4 1 1 2 18 16 -13.5
Tamar Bates 24 2-6 1-4 2-2 2 0 0 0 3 7 0 -19.6
Marques Warrick 21 4-9 1-5 1-2 1 5 1 0 0 10 8 -13.0
Tony Perkins 21 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 5 2 -6.9
Trent Pierce 19 1-4 1-3 2-3 3 1 1 0 0 5 6 +5.8
Anthony Robinson II 13 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 2 1 +7.0
Jacob Crews 13 3-8 1-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 9 3 -3.2
Josh Gray 12 0-0 0-0 5-6 5 1 0 1 0 5 12 -3.7
Annor Boateng 7 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 +3.9
T.O. Barrett 7 3-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 2 -9.7
Marcus Allen 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -5.0
Aidan Shaw 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -0.7

Oklahoma Sooners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brycen Goodine 37 4-11 1-6 0-0 3 1 2 0 2 9 2 +22.6
Jeremiah Fears 34 9-13 1-2 12-12 4 5 1 0 1 31 27 +19.8
Jalon Moore 26 4-10 1-1 2-2 7 1 1 0 1 11 9 +10.0
Kobe Elvis 25 2-4 2-3 2-2 0 4 2 0 1 8 9 +0.8
Duke Miles 19 1-1 0-0 3-4 4 2 0 0 1 5 9 +6.1
Mohamed Wague 18 4-4 0-0 4-4 5 1 0 0 2 12 12 +11.5
Glenn Taylor Jr. 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -2 +2.5
Dayton Forsythe 11 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 3 2 +5.3
Sam Godwin 11 5-5 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 12 8 +10.4
Luke Northweather 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 3 3 -0.6
Jake Moser 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.1

* = starter