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2025-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 68.8% 31.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 33.7% 66.3% - โœ—
Margin 48.8% 51.2% +0.3 โœ— (13.3 off)
Pythagorean 48.2% 51.8% - โœ—
Efficiency 49.0% 51.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 58.5% 41.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 59.1% 40.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 48.4% 51.6% - โœ—

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores -13 (77-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Johnell Davis 39 7-18 2-5 5-7 4 2 0 1 3 21 7 +23.2
Trevon Brazile 36 6-8 3-5 1-2 14 2 2 2 2 16 26 +19.0
D.J. Wagner 30 5-9 2-4 2-2 2 3 0 0 0 14 10 +3.9
Karter Knox 27 4-9 0-3 2-2 5 2 1 2 1 10 10 +17.3
Billy Richmond III 27 3-7 0-2 2-3 2 2 2 1 7 8 1 +10.5
Zvonimir Ivisic 25 6-11 1-5 1-1 5 1 1 2 1 14 11 +19.8
Jonas Aidoo 16 2-3 0-0 3-5 8 0 0 0 1 7 11 +2.0

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Hoggard 34 4-9 1-4 5-5 5 7 1 1 5 14 14 -11.7
Tyler Nickel 30 5-8 4-7 2-2 3 0 2 0 1 16 12 -9.8
Jaylen Carey 28 2-6 0-1 3-6 6 1 0 1 1 7 8 -12.8
Jason Edwards 23 0-12 0-4 2-2 1 0 2 0 2 2 -9 -8.9
MJ Collins 22 2-7 2-4 4-6 2 0 0 0 0 10 5 -9.6
Tyler Tanner 19 3-5 1-1 0-0 4 3 1 0 3 7 7 -9.4
Devin McGlockton 19 5-9 2-4 0-0 3 1 1 1 1 12 8 -2.8
Chris Manon 18 2-4 0-0 5-6 3 1 3 1 1 9 12 -19.9
J. Roberts 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +3.1

* = starter