Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Longhorns | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.3% | 67.7% | +4.1 | ✗ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -5 (82-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Johnson | 43 | 8-16 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Arthur Kaluma | 35 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | +4.6 |
| Jordan Pope | 30 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | -2.5 |
| Tramon Mark | 29 | 9-13 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 14 | -3.3 |
| Jayson Kent | 24 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | +17.6 |
| Julian Larry | 24 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +17.1 |
| Kadin Shedrick | 22 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 | -0.1 |
| Devon Pryor | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Nic Codie | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.7 |
| Ze'Rik Onyema | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.0 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Matthews | 38 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +3.0 |
| Josh Hubbard | 38 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 9-10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | +0.5 |
| Riley Kugel | 36 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 5-9 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | -5.1 |
| KeShawn Murphy | 30 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | -4.6 |
| RJ Melendez | 29 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 16 | +6.6 |
| Shawn Jones Jr. | 23 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | -0.2 |
| Claudell Harris Jr. | 16 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -8.2 |
| Michael Nwoko | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Dellquan Warren | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.9 |
* = starter