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2025-03-04

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 10.3% 89.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 16.2% 83.8% - โœ“
Margin 7.6% 92.4% +13.7 โœ“ (17.3 off)
Pythagorean 37.9% 62.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 37.9% 62.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 6.6% 93.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 6.5% 93.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 21.9% 78.1% - โœ“

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +31 (95-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dji Bailey 33 2-4 0-1 1-2 6 3 1 0 4 5 7 -26.4
Cam Carter 30 5-12 4-6 0-1 4 2 2 0 2 14 8 -24.0
Mike Williams III 27 4-10 0-5 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 8 -3 -22.6
Robert Miller III 25 7-11 1-2 0-1 6 0 1 1 1 15 11 -18.0
Curtis Givens III 24 0-5 0-3 2-2 1 3 0 0 2 2 -1 -11.8
Derek Fountain 22 2-5 0-1 1-2 4 1 2 0 1 5 6 -8.5
Daimion Collins 20 1-4 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 3 1 2 6 -9.2
Jordan Sears 19 5-7 1-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 3 13 6 -10.9

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Koby Brea 29 2-7 2-7 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 0 +29.3
Lamont Butler 26 2-5 1-2 0-0 6 5 2 0 1 5 12 +24.7
Otega Oweh 26 9-11 0-1 6-6 8 3 3 0 2 24 25 +30.4
Brandon Garrison 21 6-12 2-5 1-1 2 4 3 1 1 15 12 +28.5
Andrew Carr 21 3-7 1-4 1-1 6 0 1 1 0 8 9 +23.9
Amari Williams 19 4-10 0-0 1-1 6 3 2 1 0 9 11 -1.9
Ansley Almonor 19 6-7 3-4 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 15 9 +7.2
Collin Chandler 17 3-8 3-6 2-2 4 4 0 0 2 11 9 +8.1
Trent Noah 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 3 -3.2
Travis Perry 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 0 1 -1.4
Zach Tow 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Walker Horn 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Grant Darbyshire 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter