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2025-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Missouri Tigers Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 52.8% 47.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 39.6% 60.4% - โœ“
Margin 58.0% 42.0% -1.8 โœ— (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 51.9% 48.1% - โœ—
Efficiency 51.9% 48.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 68.4% 31.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 68.8% 31.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 53.9% 46.1% - โœ—

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +4 (97-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mark Mitchell 41 4-10 0-0 12-15 7 1 0 1 5 20 14 +3.9
Caleb Grill 39 9-19 3-11 7-7 2 1 2 0 2 28 12 +8.9
Tamar Bates 37 7-11 1-3 1-1 2 1 1 0 2 16 7 -8.6
Anthony Robinson II 33 4-5 3-3 5-7 3 5 3 0 1 16 21 -1.5
Trent Pierce 25 1-2 0-1 1-3 3 1 1 0 2 3 4 -17.0
Jacob Crews 17 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 0 +2.2
Josh Gray 15 1-2 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 4 7 +7.5
Tony Perkins 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 0 1 -11.3
Marques Warrick 3 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -0.4
Peyton Marshall 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.1

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Hoggard 36 6-12 1-5 8-8 3 6 2 1 3 21 18 +13.6
Chris Manon 34 8-13 0-0 7-8 11 2 2 2 1 23 26 +3.0
Tyler Nickel 33 3-7 3-6 3-4 1 1 1 0 0 12 8 +14.8
Jason Edwards 30 6-15 3-9 2-2 0 4 3 0 2 17 7 +4.2
Devin McGlockton 29 3-5 0-1 1-2 8 1 2 1 3 7 11 +15.8
Jaylen Carey 21 3-7 0-1 0-0 10 0 0 0 1 6 8 -10.5
Tyler Tanner 17 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 4 1 +3.4
MJ Collins 17 3-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 7 1 +0.2
Grant Huffman 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -7.5
J. Roberts 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +0.1

* = starter