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2025-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Tennessee Volunteers Spread Result
Elo 46.1% 53.9% -
Bradley-Terry 42.4% 57.6% -
Margin 43.7% 56.3% +1.4 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 44.4% 55.6% -
Efficiency 44.4% 55.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.5% 58.5% -
Log Adjusted 41.7% 58.3% -
Points Off/Def 45.8% 54.2% -

Actual: Tennessee Volunteers +3 (79-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Sears 37 7-16 4-9 6-6 2 4 0 0 2 24 12 +13.4
L. Philon 32 4-9 1-3 4-5 2 4 5 1 2 13 14 +4.1
G. Nelson 28 2-8 0-2 3-5 12 1 0 2 0 7 14 +3.7
C. Youngblood 26 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 1 +1.7
C. Omoruyi 23 2-5 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 1 2 5 6 +0.9
M. Dioubate 19 3-5 0-0 2-3 6 1 1 1 1 8 11 -1.0
A. Holloway 16 4-9 3-6 0-3 1 0 1 0 2 11 2 -1.2
J. Stevenson 15 2-4 1-2 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 5 8 +6.8
A. Sherrell 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -4.1

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. Okpara 35 2-8 0-0 1-1 9 0 1 2 2 5 7 +2.7
J. Mashack 34 3-5 1-1 4-5 6 2 3 2 1 11 18 +6.0
C. Lanier 33 7-16 2-8 2-4 4 2 1 0 2 18 7 +4.0
Z. Zeigler 30 4-10 2-3 5-9 1 4 1 0 2 15 9 -1.2
J. Gainey 29 6-13 0-2 6-6 3 1 0 0 0 18 9 +1.0
I. Milicic Jr. 20 1-2 1-2 0-0 5 3 0 0 3 3 6 -1.3
D. Dubar 11 2-5 2-5 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 6 3 -10.8
C. Phillips 6 1-2 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 +2.6
B. Boswell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -1.0

* = starter