Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.3% | 31.7% | -4.2 | ✓ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats -16 (78-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kelly | 35 | 10-17 | 9-14 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 16 | +24.2 |
| T. Pettiford | 33 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 8-9 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 17 | +24.5 |
| J. Broome | 33 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 3-7 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +19.0 |
| C. Baker-Mazara | 29 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 9-10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 15 | +18.6 |
| C. Johnson | 25 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +16.5 |
| Dy. Cardwell | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +13.5 |
| C. Moore | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +4.3 |
| D. Jones | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -2.7 |
| J. Hudson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.5 |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Brea | 38 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 15 | -18.3 |
| L. Butler | 32 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 0 | -11.0 |
| A. Williams | 31 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7-13 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -16.4 |
| A. Carr | 28 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 13 | -10.1 |
| O. Oweh | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -10.1 |
| C. Chandler | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3.4 |
| B. Garrison | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -12.9 |
| T. Noah | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5.1 |
| A. Almonor | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +5.2 |
| T. Perry | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.9 |
* = starter