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2025-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Oklahoma Sooners Spread Result
Elo 74.4% 25.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 53.3% 46.7% - โœ“
Margin 65.9% 34.1% -3.6 โœ“ (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 50.7% 49.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 50.7% 49.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 74.3% 25.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 74.7% 25.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 57.3% 42.7% - โœ“

Actual: Oklahoma Sooners -1 (82-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Koby Brea 35 3-10 1-6 2-2 7 3 1 0 1 9 9 -0.7
Otega Oweh 32 12-21 1-3 3-5 6 0 1 2 4 28 12 +4.3
Brandon Garrison 27 5-8 2-3 0-1 4 0 3 2 1 12 12 +1.7
Lamont Butler 20 1-2 0-1 5-5 4 6 1 0 3 7 13 +10.3
Amari Williams 19 2-3 0-0 4-5 3 3 2 0 2 8 11 -5.1
Andrew Carr 19 2-3 1-1 2-4 3 0 0 0 1 7 6 +3.3
Trent Noah 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 3 +2.2
Jaxson Robinson 12 3-7 1-5 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 7 3 -3.7
Travis Perry 11 1-2 1-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 -2.7
Collin Chandler 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -3.8
Ansley Almonor 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1.5

Oklahoma Sooners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeremiah Fears 37 7-18 0-3 4-6 8 6 1 0 4 18 11 +6.2
Brycen Goodine 34 4-7 4-6 1-2 2 0 2 0 1 13 9 +8.8
Jalon Moore 34 7-12 2-7 4-5 6 0 0 0 2 20 12 +4.0
Duke Miles 29 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 4 6 -3.0
Sam Godwin 22 3-3 0-0 1-1 6 1 1 0 3 7 9 +2.9
Kobe Elvis 14 2-5 2-3 2-2 0 3 2 0 2 8 6 +2.1
Mohamed Wague 12 2-2 0-0 0-1 4 0 2 0 2 4 6 +0.8
Glenn Taylor Jr. 8 2-4 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 5 1 +1.1
Dayton Forsythe 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 -3.4
Luke Northweather 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -4.0

* = starter