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2025-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee Volunteers LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 85.1% 14.9% -
Bradley-Terry 82.2% 17.8% -
Margin 88.4% 11.6% -11.2 (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 59.9% 40.1% -
Efficiency 59.9% 40.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 92.8% 7.2% -
Log Adjusted 92.9% 7.1% -
Points Off/Def 72.8% 27.2% -

Actual: LSU Tigers -6 (59-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Mashack 36 2-5 1-2 4-6 8 1 1 0 0 9 14 -0.5
C. Lanier 36 5-11 3-8 1-2 9 0 0 0 1 14 11 +3.5
Z. Zeigler 35 6-14 1-5 4-6 0 3 2 0 4 17 4 -3.5
F. Okpara 28 6-6 0-0 3-3 7 0 0 2 2 15 16 +1.2
I. Milicic Jr. 27 2-9 0-3 0-2 7 3 1 0 1 4 5 +2.7
J. Gainey 17 2-7 1-3 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 5 1 -2.1
C. Phillips 12 0-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2.0
D. Dubar 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -1.5
B. Boswell 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +1.5

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Bailey 36 2-8 0-3 1-2 2 2 3 0 0 5 4 +5.9
C. Carter 35 3-10 1-6 5-5 1 2 0 0 2 12 3 +9.1
C. Givens III 29 3-9 2-7 0-0 3 0 1 0 3 8 0 +3.6
V. Miller 27 6-11 3-6 2-3 3 0 1 0 0 17 10 +5.0
D. Collins 21 4-4 1-1 0-3 3 0 1 2 2 9 9 -5.2
R. Miller III 19 2-2 0-0 0-1 9 3 0 2 1 4 15 +8.0
J. Sears 15 0-4 0-3 2-2 1 1 2 0 1 2 1 +2.5
M. Williams III 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 0 -8.9
C. Chest 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1.5

* = starter