Model Predictions
| Model | Ole Miss Rebels | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.3% | 90.7% | +12.6 | ✓ (17.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers +30 (106-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ole Miss Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Murrell | 31 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | -4.9 |
| Dre Davis | 29 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | -17.8 |
| Sean Pedulla | 27 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | -12.5 |
| Jaylen Murray | 23 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5 | -15.9 |
| Davon Barnes | 20 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | -23.3 |
| Malik Dia | 19 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | -4.8 |
| Jaemyn Brakefield | 17 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | -13.6 |
| Eduardo Klafke | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -13.9 |
| Mikeal Brown-Jones | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -5.0 |
| Robert Cowherd | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -9.4 |
| John Bol | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -7.2 |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johni Broome | 31 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 10-12 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 26 | +11.8 |
| Denver Jones | 29 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | +33.1 |
| Chad Baker-Mazara | 29 | 8-12 | 4-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 16 | +26.1 |
| Miles Kelly | 29 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | +16.1 |
| Chaney Johnson | 22 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 14 | +28.4 |
| Tahaad Pettiford | 18 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | +16.0 |
| Dylan Cardwell | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +10.9 |
| Ja'Heim Hudson | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +6.8 |
| Chris Moore | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +9.6 |
| Jahki Howard | 6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -3.2 |
| Blake Muschalek | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -0.7 |
| JP Pegues | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.8 |
* = starter