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2025-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 93.6% 6.4% -
Bradley-Terry 90.5% 9.5% -
Margin 93.2% 6.8% -14.4 (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 61.0% 39.0% -
Efficiency 60.2% 39.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 94.3% 5.7% -
Log Adjusted 94.4% 5.6% -
Points Off/Def 78.7% 21.3% -

Actual: LSU Tigers -14 (65-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Clayton Jr. 35 5-16 2-8 1-1 6 0 2 2 0 13 7 +13.3
T. Haugh 34 7-9 2-2 0-0 10 3 1 1 1 16 21 +11.5
A. Martin 32 4-13 2-4 4-7 6 1 0 0 0 14 8 +3.8
W. Richard 27 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 5 1 0 1 0 5 +2.2
R. Chinyelu 25 8-14 0-0 3-3 13 2 0 2 1 19 21 +8.9
D. Aberdeen 21 5-9 0-2 1-1 0 0 2 0 2 11 2 -5.9
M. Handlogten 14 0-0 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 0 0 1 8 -5.4
U. Klavzar 12 2-6 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 0 +8.2

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Carter 37 3-13 0-6 1-2 5 2 1 1 3 7 0 +7.5
C. Givens III 31 4-12 3-9 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 11 6 +1.8
D. Bailey 31 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 5 0 0 1 3 6 +3.9
M. Williams III 26 3-9 3-6 1-2 3 1 1 0 2 10 4 -2.1
R. Miller III 25 6-8 2-3 5-5 10 0 0 0 0 19 21 -4.4
V. Miller 16 1-6 0-3 1-3 1 1 0 0 0 3 -1 -9.9
D. Collins 15 4-7 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 8 6 -0.9
C. Chest 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -11.9
J. Sears 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 -1 -6.8

* = starter