Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri Tigers | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.7% | 53.3% | +0.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +7 (92-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Mitchell | 31 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 11 | -3.0 |
| Caleb Grill | 31 | 4-14 | 2-12 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Tony Perkins | 28 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 2 | -10.2 |
| Tamar Bates | 22 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | -1.9 |
| Anthony Robinson II | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | -2.9 |
| Marques Warrick | 19 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | +6.3 |
| Trent Pierce | 16 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -7.6 |
| Jacob Crews | 14 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | -2.9 |
| Aidan Shaw | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2.4 |
| Marcus Allen | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -6.1 |
| Peyton Marshall | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +6.0 |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnell Davis | 39 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 14 | +16.1 |
| Karter Knox | 36 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | +11.1 |
| D.J. Wagner | 33 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 8-10 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | +3.8 |
| Zvonimir Ivisic | 27 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 17 | +2.4 |
| Adou Thiero | 26 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | +20.6 |
| Jonas Aidoo | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | +5.8 |
| Trevon Brazile | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -11.4 |
| Billy Richmond III | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -3.2 |
* = starter