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2025-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 31.1% 68.9% -
Bradley-Terry 32.6% 67.4% -
Margin 21.6% 78.4% +7.1 (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% -
Efficiency 45.6% 54.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.2% 68.8% -
Log Adjusted 30.9% 69.1% -
Points Off/Def 34.6% 65.4% -

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +13 (96-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Brea 35 7-17 4-10 2-2 1 2 1 0 0 20 7 -6.3
A. Carr 29 6-9 3-5 2-2 6 2 2 1 2 17 17 +14.4
T. Perry 28 4-11 1-7 3-3 1 1 4 0 0 12 7 -17.4
A. Williams 27 5-9 0-0 7-10 11 6 1 1 4 17 23 -5.6
T. Noah 23 1-4 0-2 0-1 3 0 0 0 0 2 1 -19.0
O. Oweh 22 1-9 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 0 2 2 1 +1.5
B. Garrison 13 3-5 0-0 2-4 4 0 1 0 2 8 6 -3.2
C. Chandler 13 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 1 2 0 2 5 3 +7.5
A. Almonor 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -19.8

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Sears 35 8-17 3-8 11-11 4 4 2 0 2 30 21 +14.8
C. Omoruyi 29 4-4 0-0 3-4 15 2 1 0 3 11 22 +14.9
C. Youngblood 28 5-8 3-5 1-1 0 2 0 0 1 14 7 +18.1
L. Philon 25 3-6 0-2 1-1 2 3 2 0 5 7 3 -2.0
J. Stevenson 24 1-3 0-2 2-2 4 1 1 1 2 4 6 +7.5
A. Holloway 23 6-14 5-12 2-3 4 0 1 0 1 19 9 +6.9
G. Nelson 15 2-4 0-1 1-2 3 2 0 2 0 5 8 +4.6
M. Dioubate 14 2-4 0-1 0-1 5 0 0 1 1 4 5 +3.9
A. Sherrell 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 +3.3

* = starter