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2025-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 27.3% 72.7% -
Bradley-Terry 14.9% 85.1% -
Margin 7.6% 92.4% +13.7 (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 41.1% 58.9% -
Efficiency 42.2% 57.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 6.6% 93.4% -
Log Adjusted 6.6% 93.4% -
Points Off/Def 21.6% 78.4% -

Actual: Auburn Tigers +7 (67-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Wagner 37 5-12 1-4 0-1 2 5 1 0 3 11 4 -2.8
J. Davis 36 5-9 0-2 4-5 3 4 3 0 0 14 15 +3.5
A. Thiero 32 6-13 1-3 3-6 4 0 1 0 0 16 8 -5.9
Z. Ivisic 30 0-10 0-9 0-0 8 0 2 3 3 0 0 -3.5
K. Knox 29 5-6 1-1 0-2 4 0 2 1 2 11 10 -7.1
B. Richmond III 18 4-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 8 8 +2.9
T. Brazile 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 +5.2
J. Aidoo 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 3 +1.1

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Kelly 34 3-10 1-6 0-0 8 1 4 0 2 7 8 +3.9
J. Broome 33 7-15 0-3 2-2 13 3 0 0 2 16 15 +5.6
D. Jones 31 3-9 1-3 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 9 3 +2.4
C. Johnson 28 6-13 0-2 2-3 6 1 2 1 0 14 11 +2.9
C. Baker-Mazara 25 4-8 1-5 6-6 3 0 0 0 3 15 7 +6.7
Dy. Cardwell 19 0-1 0-0 0-2 3 1 0 1 2 0 2 +2.6
T. Pettiford 17 1-4 1-4 1-2 2 4 0 0 1 4 5 -0.6
C. Moore 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 1 +1.8

* = starter