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2025-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Texas A&M Aggies Spread Result
Elo 45.9% 54.1% -
Bradley-Terry 34.0% 66.0% -
Margin 29.5% 70.5% +4.8 (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 46.2% 53.8% -
Efficiency 47.0% 53.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.8% 67.2% -
Log Adjusted 33.2% 66.8% -
Points Off/Def 38.9% 61.1% -

Actual: Texas A&M Aggies +8 (69-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Knox 35 7-9 3-4 0-0 5 0 1 1 1 17 14 -8.7
A. Thiero 31 2-6 1-2 5-6 3 4 1 1 3 10 10 -5.0
J. Davis 28 3-13 1-7 0-0 3 1 2 0 4 7 -4 +3.5
D.J. Wagner 28 2-6 0-2 0-1 2 2 1 0 3 4 0 -9.2
B. Richmond III 24 2-6 0-1 2-2 6 2 1 0 4 6 5 -1.9
Z. Ivisic 20 3-5 2-3 5-6 6 1 0 4 1 13 18 -12.2
J. Aidoo 20 1-1 0-0 2-4 3 3 1 1 0 4 11 -5.0
T. Brazile 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 0 2 -5.7

Texas A&M Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Taylor IV 35 4-13 3-9 7-8 1 9 3 0 5 18 13 +10.4
Z. Phelps 29 4-10 1-4 3-4 9 1 4 0 2 12 14 +3.4
S. Washington 27 2-5 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 2 0 4 6 -
A. Garcia 26 4-8 0-1 3-5 5 3 2 0 1 11 12 +21.4
H. Coleman III 23 3-7 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 2 +0.5
P. Payne 21 3-5 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 1 0 6 6 +6.1
M. Obaseki 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 1 2 0 +7.9
H. Hefner 10 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -6.0
J. Carter 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 3 +2.0
CJ Wilcher 7 2-4 2-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 2 +5.5

* = starter