Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Ole Miss Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.4% | 67.6% | +4.1 | ✗ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Ole Miss Rebels -10 (71-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hubbard | 35 | 4-14 | 2-8 | 6-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | +9.6 |
| Cameron Matthews | 34 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | +18.3 |
| Riley Kugel | 28 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +15.0 |
| RJ Melendez | 25 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | +8.3 |
| Shawn Jones Jr. | 21 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +20.2 |
| Claudell Harris Jr. | 19 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | +6.5 |
| KeShawn Murphy | 18 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | +0.8 |
| Michael Nwoko | 14 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | -1.2 |
| Dellquan Warren | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +6.0 |
Ole Miss Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Pedulla | 33 | 4-14 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 4 | -1.3 |
| Matthew Murrell | 28 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | -9.1 |
| Dre Davis | 25 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -9.9 |
| Jaylen Murray | 25 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | -8.8 |
| Davon Barnes | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -15.1 |
| Jaemyn Brakefield | 21 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | -13.8 |
| Malik Dia | 17 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | -8.8 |
| Mikeal Brown-Jones | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +2.9 |
| Eduardo Klafke | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3.4 |
| Robert Cowherd | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.4 |
| John Bol | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.1 |
* = starter