Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.6% | 50.4% | +0.1 | ✗ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide -9 (85-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johni Broome | 33 | 7-16 | 2-4 | 3-9 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 24 | +9.3 |
| Chaney Johnson | 33 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 11 | +12.4 |
| Miles Kelly | 32 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 16 | +6.4 |
| Denver Jones | 31 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 9 | +20.4 |
| Chad Baker-Mazara | 24 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 18 | +0.3 |
| Tahaad Pettiford | 23 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 2 | -7.0 |
| Dylan Cardwell | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +1.5 |
| Chris Moore | 9 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +9.6 |
| Ja'Heim Hudson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Jahki Howard | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Sears | 31 | 4-17 | 2-11 | 8-11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 3 | +5.9 |
| Grant Nelson | 30 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 14 | -16.0 |
| Chris Youngblood | 29 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | -4.1 |
| Clifford Omoruyi | 25 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 16 | -0.3 |
| Labaron Philon | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | -5.2 |
| Mouhamed Dioubate | 21 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +4.0 |
| Jarin Stevenson | 20 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -3.1 |
| Aden Holloway | 16 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Derrion Reid | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -0.8 |
* = starter