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2025-02-11

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 80.6% 19.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 68.4% 31.6% - โœ“
Margin 87.5% 12.5% -10.7 โœ“ (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 54.1% 45.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 53.8% 46.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 90.7% 9.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 90.9% 9.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 72.2% 27.8% - โœ“

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores -12 (68-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Johni Broome 30 6-16 0-3 5-8 7 2 0 3 0 17 13 +16.2
Chad Baker-Mazara 28 0-6 0-4 0-0 2 4 2 0 2 0 0 +10.8
Denver Jones 28 7-10 5-7 2-2 1 0 0 0 4 21 8 +9.8
Chaney Johnson 28 9-10 1-2 1-2 5 0 2 0 1 20 16 +18.1
Miles Kelly 26 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 3 2 +17.8
Tahaad Pettiford 25 3-6 2-5 1-1 3 2 1 0 1 9 8 +0.4
Dylan Cardwell 18 2-3 0-0 2-2 4 2 2 2 0 6 13 -
Chris Moore 13 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -4.0
Ja'Heim Hudson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.0

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin McGlockton 30 4-8 1-1 1-1 13 1 1 2 1 10 18 +6.4
Jaylen Carey 29 4-7 0-1 0-0 10 2 2 1 4 8 12 -12.8
A.J. Hoggard 27 3-11 0-1 4-4 2 4 0 0 3 10 2 -3.8
Jason Edwards 27 5-11 1-5 2-3 3 1 0 0 1 13 5 -0.3
MJ Collins 22 4-7 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 8 2 -22.9
Tyler Tanner 20 1-5 0-0 2-2 0 0 2 0 0 4 1 -5.4
Chris Manon 19 3-4 0-1 2-2 3 0 2 1 0 8 10 +12.1
Tyler Nickel 17 1-6 1-5 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 5 -1 -3.7
Grant Huffman 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -7.0
J. Roberts 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.8

* = starter